A key point in Brazilian President Lula’s speech at the Mercosur meeting on Saturday (Dec. 20) was the risk of armed conflict in South America in the face of the threat of US military intervention in Venezuela – which could lead to an attempt to overthrow the current regime of President Nicolás Maduro, possibly triggering a new war of unpredictable proportions in the region.

“More than four decades after the Falklands War, the South American continent is once again haunted by the military presence of an extra-regional power. The limits of international law are being tested,” he said, adding that “an armed intervention in Venezuela would be a humanitarian catastrophe for the hemisphere and a dangerous precedent for the world.”
Right now, US troops surround the Caribbean Sea on the Venezuelan border under the pretext of combating drug trafficking. A blockade has been set up to prevent the navigation of oil tankers from the Caribbean country, one of the largest oil producers on the planet.
Oil is the heart of Venezuela’s economy, and US action could cause financial suffocation for the country.
Since September, approximately 25 attacks on vessels in the Caribbean have been carried out by US military forces, killing at least 95 people.
“Venezuela is completely surrounded by the largest Armada ever assembled in the History of South America. It will only get bigger, and the shock to them will be like nothing they have ever seen before – Until such time as they return to the United States of America all of the Oil, Land, and other Assets that they previously stole from us,” US President Donald Trump stated in recent days.
The threat has heightened tensions and sparked speculation about what the real US interest in a regime change in Venezuela might be, beyond the alleged fight against drug trafficking.
In an interview with journalists last Thursday (18) at the Planalto presidential palace, Lula said he had held telephone conversations with both Maduro and Trump in an attempt to find a diplomatic solution to the situation.
“I told President Maduro that if he wanted Brazil to help with anything, he had to say what he would like us to do. And I said to Trump, ‘If you think Brazil can contribute, we will be very interested in talking to Venezuela, talking to you, talking to other countries so that we can avoid an armed conflict here in Latin America and in our beloved South America.’ And Brazil really appreciates this, because we share many kilometers of border with Venezuela,” he said at the time.
“Negotiations could be held without war. So, I am always concerned about what lies behind this. Because it cannot be just a matter of overthrowing Maduro. What other interests are there that we are not yet aware of?” the Brazilian president questioned regarding the US motivations for the military threat.
Lula also promised to call Trump again before Christmas. The Brazilian president had already warned Foreign Minister Mauro Vieira not to travel too far from Brazil over the next few weeks in case the situation worsens.